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CENTER FOR CLIMATE STRATEGIES
JULY 2018

Latin America Low Emissions Development

CCS Provides 43 Guatemala Policy Assessments

May 21-25, 2018, Guatemala City. In support of the USAID Guatemala Low Emissions Development Project, the Center for Climate Strategies (CCS) presented draft results of direct impacts analyses for 43 Low Emissions Development Strategies (LEDS) and implementation mechanisms. These comprehensive actions were selected and designed to promote sustainable development, reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, protect forests and biodiversity, and enhance energy security in all economic sectors.

Policies were screened from a set of several hundred potential options by over 200 Guatemala stakeholders involved in a systematic Multi-Criteria Assessment (MCA) planning and analysis process that is fully participatory and multi objective, and encompasses ten specific decision-making steps. All national economic sectors are covered, including Agriculture; Forestry & Other Land Use (FOLU); Transportation & Urban Land Use (TLU); Waste Management (WM); Industry; Energy Supply (ES); and Residential, Commercial, and Institutional (RCI).

Draft impact results are promising. If all 43 policies were fully implemented, 2050 GHG emissions could be reduced to levels not seen since before 2010 (see chart below). Reductions in Agriculture and the Forestry & Other Land Use sectors show the importance of addressing unsustainable resource management practices and opportunities for transforming landscapes and natural systems.

Guatemala stakeholders will provide final review and comment on results of the 43 policies before they are evaluated for macroeconomic objectives such as employment and economic growth. CCS’ work with Research Triangle Institute (RTI) International in Guatemala began in 2015, and has included both facilitative and technical support for the LEDS program. Previous achievements include formulation of the national Economic, Energy, Resources, and Emissions Baseline Report for Guatemala.

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Guatemala Emissions Cuts: The top dotted line indicates business as usual GHG emissions for Guatemala. Each colored line indicates the expected drop in GHG levels following implementation of LEDS policies within each economic sector. Full implementation of all policies (yellow line) results in emissions lower than those seen in 2010.

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